Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 20.278801 23.145034 26.274844 29.946838 34.138150 38.774638 44.295111
2024-10-06 17.124169 21.063345 25.695535 31.547543 38.749478 47.331609 58.349281
2024-10-13 14.264134 18.774245 24.445506 32.107486 42.204000 55.077096 72.777270
2024-10-20 11.611081 16.282391 22.536974 31.536397 44.181993 61.363948 86.567308
2024-10-27 9.681137 14.413726 21.137666 31.406957 46.742604 68.875592 103.400375
2024-11-03 8.475915 13.359768 20.702034 32.572419 51.360415 80.086342 127.614279
2024-11-10 7.554889 12.572286 20.532369 34.119690 56.853078 93.581693 157.876661
2024-11-17 6.571052 11.512962 19.764125 34.594439 60.753744 105.295976 187.580062
2024-11-24 5.512335 10.140773 18.251682 33.561827 61.957193 112.781349 211.606311
2024-12-01 4.639818 8.941415 16.835105 32.448030 62.825870 119.854127 236.315359
2024-12-08 4.040900 8.141656 16.006706 32.276766 65.424201 130.571433 270.045492
2024-12-15 3.598415 7.566294 15.505970 32.653744 69.169865 144.174514 312.226356
2024-12-22 3.190760 7.005197 14.972340 32.947635 72.982735 158.980446 360.781187
2024-12-29 2.925135 6.697668 14.913271 34.255405 79.262475 180.259190 428.215586
2025-01-05 2.610422 6.223276 14.413212 34.501171 83.255771 197.367011 490.009404
2025-01-12 2.264194 5.610791 13.494642 33.607418 84.439085 208.325878 539.659375
2025-01-19 2.002389 5.150992 12.849303 33.250375 86.871770 222.783820 601.386574
2025-01-26 1.850992 4.938901 12.768565 34.306007 93.132392 248.086026 697.351718
2025-02-02 1.735185 4.797506 12.841995 35.788590 100.855707 278.799520 815.270621
2025-02-09 1.582283 4.526814 12.529484 36.168372 105.659565 302.695472 919.529462
2025-02-16 1.387604 4.101710 11.722081 34.997532 105.825677 313.732442 988.562547
2025-02-23 1.216961 3.713028 10.945775 33.766250 105.578918 323.591462 1056.549110
2025-03-02 1.100456 3.463566 10.526423 33.533406 108.361195 343.176443 1160.447762